Cálculo de la retribución de las instalaciones fotovoltaicas para el próximo semiperiodo regulatorio

Revisión de los parámetros retributivos

La retribución de las instalaciones fotovoltaicas y termosolares para el próximo semiperiodo regulatorio dependerá de la revisión de los parámetros retributivos que debería realizar el Ministerio antes de que acabe el año. Esta revisión de parámetros retributivos es precisa para corregir las desviaciones en las estimaciones de ingresos de las instalaciones “tipo” derivadas  de la evolución real del “pool” eléctrico durante el último trienio.

Para un mejor entendimiento de esta casuística se recomienda la lectura de nuestro artículo titulado “¿Rentabilidad razonable? Así han perdido ingresos las renovables durante los últimos tres años”, publicado en el blog de Haz Energía el pasado 17 de octubre, en el que explicamos en detalle la metodología del mecanismo de revisión y su efecto (negativo) en los ingresos de las instalaciones renovables.

Cálculo de la retribución de las instalaciones fotovoltaicas

Considerando lo anterior, y de cara a la elaboración de los próximos presupuestos, es crítico conocer de antemano cuales serán estos parámetros retributivos. En este sentido, y al objeto de dar respuesta a los productores fotovoltaicos, desde Haz Energía hemos desarrollado un modelo de cálculo que permite estimar cuáles serán los parámetros retributivos que resultarán de aplicación a las todas las instalaciones “tipo” fotovoltaicas y termosolares durante los próximos 3 años.

A través de la siguiente herramienta de búsqueda se puede acceder a los principales resultados del modelo de cálculo. Para ello, escribiendo el código IT completo de cualquier instalación en el campo “Buscar”, se obtendrá la mejor estimación posible a la fecha del término de retribución a la inversión (Rinv) y del término de retribución a la operación (Ro) para los años 2017, 2018 y 2019.

Código ITRinv anteriorRinv nuevoDiferenciaIncrementoRo 2017Ro 2018Ro 2019
IT-00001827.168828.4851.3170,16%32,1333,2933,59
IT-00002780.005781.3261.3210,17%30,2831,4731,77
IT-00003702.759703.8611.1020,16%26,7427,9428,23
IT-00004688.494689.5011.0070,15%26,0927,2927,59
IT-00005635.188636.3041.1160,18%23,6624,8625,16
IT-00006633.276634.3411.0650,17%23,5724,7725,07
IT-00007636.752637.7611.0090,16%23,7324,9325,23
IT-00008601.565603.0331.4680,24%16,0117,2017,50
IT-00009639.293640.8931.6000,25%17,3618,5518,85
IT-00010634.128635.6551.5270,24%17,1818,3718,67
IT-00011724.048725.4411.3930,19%20,4021,5921,89
IT-00012679.452680.8661.4140,21%18,8019,9920,29
IT-00013685.382686.7291.3470,20%19,0120,2020,50
IT-00014800.324801.6101.2860,16%23,1324,3224,62
IT-00015730.506731.8001.2940,18%20,6321,8222,12
IT-00016746.999748.5861.5870,21%20,9422,1322,43
IT-00017613.446615.0421.5960,26%16,2017,3917,69
IT-00018652.038653.5001.4620,22%17,5718,7619,06
IT-00019646.819648.1851.3660,21%17,3918,5818,88
IT-00020639.047640.4341.3870,22%17,1118,3018,60
IT-00021662.645664.0921.4470,22%17,9519,1419,44
IT-00022714.641715.9671.3260,19%19,7920,9821,28
IT-00023771.125772.5071.3820,18%21,7922,9823,28
IT-00024699.640700.5659250,13%26,6027,8028,10
IT-00025625.337626.2459080,15%23,2124,4124,71
IT-00026612.178613.0899110,15%22,6123,8124,11
IT-00027604.551605.4699180,15%22,2623,4623,76
IT-00028588.183589.3011.1180,19%21,5122,7123,01
IT-00029580.119581.1481.0290,18%21,1422,3422,64
IT-00030576.047577.0871.0400,18%20,9622,1622,46
IT-00031782.992784.3841.3920,18%22,5123,7024,00
IT-00032704.360705.7261.3660,19%19,6920,8821,18
IT-00033643.578644.9581.3800,21%17,5218,7119,01
IT-00034649.908651.3051.3970,22%17,7418,9319,23
IT-00035717.985719.2151.2300,17%20,1821,3721,67
IT-00036864.069865.3411.2720,15%25,0826,2726,57
IT-00037750.267751.8371.5700,21%21,0522,2422,54
IT-00038685.330686.8111.4810,22%18,7519,9420,24
IT-00039654.920656.3351.4150,22%17,6718,8619,16
IT-00040656.995658.4441.4490,22%17,7518,9419,24
IT-00041670.501671.8381.3370,20%18,2219,4119,71
IT-00042684.282685.5711.2890,19%18,7119,9020,20
IT-00043595.506596.5481.0420,18%33,7235,0035,42
IT-00044587.553588.5841.0310,18%33,3634,6435,06
IT-00045584.833585.8511.0180,17%33,2334,5134,93
IT-00046540.897542.0281.1310,21%31,2332,5132,93
IT-00047554.416555.4221.0060,18%31,8433,1233,54
IT-00048568.699569.6629630,17%32,5033,7834,20
IT-00049624.561626.0211.4600,23%30,7632,0632,49
IT-00050560.530561.9321.4020,25%28,4729,7730,20
IT-00051538.834540.1391.3050,24%27,6928,9929,42
IT-00052637.435638.7341.2990,20%31,2232,5232,95
IT-00053673.346674.6461.3000,19%32,5133,8134,24
IT-00054631.777633.1891.4120,22%30,6131,9132,34
IT-00055683.930685.4231.4930,22%32,4633,7634,19
IT-00056673.926675.2451.3190,20%32,1033,4033,83
IT-00057681.721683.0421.3210,19%32,3833,6834,11
IT-00058679.372680.7051.3330,20%32,3033,6034,03
IT-00059569.568570.7081.1400,20%31,7833,0633,47
IT-00060489.661490.6901.0290,21%28,1329,4129,82
IT-00061501.389502.4581.0690,21%28,6629,9430,35
IT-00062512.738513.8001.0620,21%29,1830,4630,87
IT-00063509.432510.8801.4480,28%25,8827,1727,60
IT-00064565.401566.7091.3080,23%27,8829,1729,60
IT-00065589.131590.4241.2930,22%28,7330,0230,45
IT-00066596.228597.6711.4430,24%28,5929,8830,31
IT-00067627.894629.2591.3650,22%29,7131,0031,43
IT-00068617.525618.8511.3260,22%29,3530,6431,07
IT-00069457.296458.3331.0370,23%26,6527,9328,34
IT-00070427.707428.7841.0770,25%25,3026,5826,99
IT-00071463.555464.9351.3800,30%24,2325,5225,95
IT-00072491.503492.8071.3040,27%25,2426,5326,96
IT-00073506.943508.2321.2890,25%25,4326,7227,15
IT-00074865.088866.1951.1070,13%46,0447,3147,73
IT-00075725.643726.6971.0540,15%39,6740,9441,36
IT-00076672.653673.6881.0350,15%37,2538,5238,94
IT-00077607.301608.3061.0050,17%34,2735,5435,96
IT-00078596.834597.8411.0070,17%33,7835,0635,48
IT-00079733.790735.3421.5520,21%34,6735,9736,40
IT-00080722.864724.1201.2560,17%34,2835,5836,01
IT-00081712.750714.1201.3700,19%33,4834,7835,21
IT-00082729.002730.3811.3790,19%34,0635,3635,79
IT-00083729.536730.8971.3610,19%34,0835,3835,81
IT-00084572.694573.8221.1280,20%31,9233,2033,61
IT-00085551.419552.3979780,18%30,9532,2332,64
IT-00086802.309803.8801.5710,20%36,3837,6638,09
IT-00087630.828632.1681.3400,21%30,2231,5131,94
IT-00088571.452572.8051.3530,24%27,7129,0029,43
IT-00089721.607722.9881.3810,19%33,0334,3234,75
IT-00090462.241463.2771.0360,22%26,8728,1528,56
IT-00091551.948553.2821.3340,24%27,0228,3128,74
IT-00092442.101443.1031.0020,23%14,8416,0316,34
IT-00093413.556414.5641.0080,24%13,5214,7215,02
IT-00094393.811394.8401.0290,26%12,6213,8214,12
IT-00095393.259394.2621.0030,26%12,6013,8014,11
IT-00096390.854391.8921.0380,27%12,4913,6914,00
IT-00097379.176380.1761.0000,26%11,9513,1513,45
IT-00098368.984370.0441.0600,29%11,4912,6913,00
IT-00099400.209401.1799700,24%12,9114,1114,41
IT-00100382.069383.0841.0150,27%12,0913,2913,60
IT-00101376.092377.0899970,27%11,8113,0113,31
IT-00102422.071423.0689970,24%13,9115,1115,41
IT-00103425.824426.8321.0080,24%14,0815,2815,58
IT-00104387.988389.0391.0510,27%12,3613,5613,87
IT-00105392.267393.2639960,25%12,5513,7514,05
IT-00106380.806381.8321.0260,27%12,0313,2313,54
IT-00107416.887417.8779900,24%13,6814,8915,19
IT-00108369.907370.9131.0060,27%11,5312,7313,04
IT-00109382.666383.6439770,26%12,1113,3113,61
IT-00110365.957366.9569990,27%11,3512,5512,86
IT-00111374.693375.6899960,27%11,7512,9513,26
IT-00112404.243405.2801.0370,26%13,1014,3014,61
IT-00113416.594417.5879930,24%13,6614,8615,16
IT-00114409.075410.0639880,24%13,3214,5214,83
IT-00115395.098396.1171.0190,26%12,6813,8814,19
IT-00116396.116397.0989820,25%12,7313,9314,24
IT-00117368.978370.0111.0330,28%11,4912,6913,00
IT-00118382.967383.9961.0290,27%12,1313,3313,64
IT-00119385.801386.8311.0300,27%12,2613,4613,77
IT-00120384.566385.5841.0180,27%12,2013,4013,71
IT-00121366.217367.1999820,27%11,3612,5612,86
IT-00122366.653367.6369830,27%11,3812,5812,88
IT-00123427.739428.7421.0030,24%14,1715,3715,67
IT-00124408.925409.9331.0080,25%13,3114,5114,81
IT-00125418.652419.6499970,24%13,7614,9615,27
IT-00126391.177392.1811.0040,26%12,5013,7014,00
IT-00127393.520394.5431.0230,26%12,6113,8114,12
IT-00128394.534395.5179830,25%12,6613,8714,17
IT-00129396.764397.8101.0460,26%12,7613,9614,27
IT-00130382.450383.4801.0300,27%12,1013,3013,60
IT-00131390.036391.0159790,25%12,4513,6513,96
IT-00132391.529392.5521.0230,26%12,5213,7214,03
IT-00133377.265378.2801.0150,27%11,8713,0713,38
IT-00134386.893387.9001.0070,26%12,3113,5113,82
IT-00135367.090368.1171.0270,28%11,4012,6012,90
IT-00136373.033374.0259920,27%11,6712,8713,17
IT-00137383.905384.8879820,26%12,1713,3713,68
IT-00138408.573409.5619880,24%13,3014,5114,81
IT-00139409.587410.5469590,23%13,3414,5414,84
IT-00140392.066393.0741.0080,26%12,5413,7414,04
IT-00141397.151398.1339820,25%12,7713,9714,27
IT-00142382.517383.5481.0310,27%12,1113,3113,62
IT-00143394.395395.3769810,25%12,6513,8514,16
IT-00144379.678380.6871.0090,27%11,9813,1813,49
IT-00145386.248387.2299810,25%12,2813,4813,79
IT-00146373.581374.6251.0440,28%11,7012,9013,21
IT-00147383.285384.2839980,26%12,1413,3413,65
IT-00148404.118405.1079890,25%13,0914,2914,59
IT-00149403.099404.1081.0090,25%13,0514,2514,56
IT-00150386.913387.9069930,26%12,3113,5113,82
IT-00151389.020390.0301.0100,26%12,4013,6013,90
IT-00152374.431375.4299980,27%11,7412,9413,25
IT-00153384.811385.8009890,26%12,2113,4113,72
IT-00154377.934378.9329980,26%11,9013,1013,41
IT-00155382.000382.9869860,26%12,0813,2813,58
IT-00156369.018370.0211.0030,27%11,4912,6913,00
IT-00157378.674379.6529780,26%11,9313,1313,44
IT-00158397.218398.2149960,25%12,7813,9814,29
IT-00159392.314393.2969820,25%12,5513,7514,05
IT-00160380.038381.0299910,26%11,9913,1913,49
IT-00161385.974386.9409660,25%12,2613,4613,76
IT-00162371.854372.8771.0230,28%11,6212,8213,13
IT-00163377.994378.9889940,26%11,9013,1013,41
IT-00164386.133387.1431.0100,26%12,2713,4713,78
IT-00165374.891375.8589670,26%11,7612,9613,27
IT-00166369.084370.1161.0320,28%11,4912,6912,99
IT-00167371.017372.0159980,27%11,5812,7813,09
IT-00168390.052391.0479950,26%12,4513,6513,96
IT-00169389.372390.3721.0000,26%12,4213,6213,93
IT-00170377.454378.4189640,26%11,8713,0713,37
IT-00171389.357390.3591.0020,26%12,4213,6213,93
IT-00172376.213377.2099960,27%11,8213,0213,33
IT-00173379.307380.2849770,26%11,9613,1613,47
IT-00174368.067369.1041.0370,28%11,4512,6512,96
IT-00175369.467370.4761.0090,27%11,5112,7113,02
IT-00176376.397377.3649670,26%11,8313,0313,34
IT-00177372.429373.4139840,26%11,6512,8513,16
IT-00178367.760368.7279670,26%11,4312,6312,93
IT-00179375.740376.7229820,26%11,8013,0013,31
IT-00180356.967357.9751.0080,28%10,9412,1412,45
IT-00181360.882361.8629800,27%11,1212,3212,63
IT-00182376.008376.9939850,26%11,8113,0113,32
IT-00183377.676378.6629860,26%11,8913,1013,40
IT-00184373.354374.3329780,26%11,6912,8913,20
IT-00185371.856372.8509940,27%11,6212,8213,13
IT-00186367.688368.6699810,27%11,4312,6312,94
IT-00187362.508363.4759670,27%11,1912,3912,69
IT-00188367.015368.0039880,27%11,4012,6012,91
IT-00189360.286361.2809940,28%11,0912,2912,60
IT-00190367.712368.6829700,26%11,4312,6312,94
IT-00191354.583355.5709870,28%10,8312,0312,34
IT-00192364.508365.4719630,26%11,2812,4812,78
IT-00193349.485350.4689830,28%10,6011,8012,11
IT-00194344.370345.3469760,28%10,3611,5611,86
IT-00195339.580340.5689880,29%10,1511,3511,66
IT-00196339.992340.9739810,29%10,1611,3611,66
IT-00197337.368338.3761.0080,30%10,0411,2411,54
IT-00198338.086339.0539670,29%10,0811,2811,59
IT-00199333.973334.9579840,30%9,8911,0911,40
IT-00200338.216339.1879710,29%10,0811,2811,58
IT-00201330.520331.5009800,30%9,7310,9311,24
IT-00202336.753337.7309770,29%10,0211,2211,53
IT-00203346.567347.5439760,28%10,4611,6611,96
IT-00204333.377334.3539760,29%9,8611,0611,36
IT-00205334.732335.7179850,29%9,9211,1211,42
IT-00206331.186332.1629760,30%9,7610,9611,26
IT-00207331.507332.4709630,29%9,7810,9811,29
IT-00208332.361333.3609990,30%9,8211,0211,33
IT-00209329.634330.5959610,29%9,6910,8911,20
IT-00210331.507332.4709630,29%9,7810,9811,29
IT-00211331.851332.8249730,29%9,7910,9911,29
IT-00212329.884330.8679830,30%9,7010,9011,20
IT-00213331.507332.4709630,29%9,7810,9811,29
IT-00214328.538329.5391.0010,31%9,6410,8411,15
IT-00215326.679327.6569770,30%9,5610,7611,07
IT-00216331.507332.4709630,29%9,7810,9811,29
IT-00217329.351330.3531.0020,30%9,6810,8811,19
IT-00218325.791326.7559640,30%9,5210,7211,03
IT-00219322.722323.6849620,30%9,3810,5810,89
IT-00220323.192324.1679750,30%9,4010,6010,91
IT-00221322.722323.6849620,30%9,3810,5810,89
IT-00222315.699316.6929930,31%9,0510,2510,55
IT-00223321.322322.2949720,30%9,3110,5110,82
IT-00224322.722323.6849620,30%9,3810,5810,89
IT-00225318.611319.5909790,31%9,1910,3910,70
IT-00226319.916320.8949780,31%9,2510,4510,76
IT-00227322.722323.6849620,30%9,3810,5810,89
IT-00228347.569348.5659960,29%10,5111,7112,02
IT-00229319.448320.4139650,30%9,2310,4310,74
IT-00230322.722323.6849620,30%9,3810,5810,89
IT-00231407.310407.244-66-0,02%25,1326,4126,83
IT-00232412.865413.8459800,24%25,3826,6627,08
IT-00233367.357368.3861.0290,28%23,3024,5825,00
IT-00234387.558388.5509920,26%24,2225,5025,92
IT-00235367.820368.8431.0230,28%23,3224,6025,02
IT-00236368.852369.8399870,27%23,3724,6525,07
IT-00237361.758362.7821.0240,28%23,0424,3224,74
IT-00238352.812353.8411.0290,29%22,6423,9224,34
IT-00239344.634345.6611.0270,30%22,2623,5423,96
IT-00240366.132367.1351.0030,27%23,2424,5224,94
IT-00241412.418413.4411.0230,25%25,3626,6427,06
IT-00242371.095372.1011.0060,27%23,4724,7525,17
IT-00243371.788372.7849960,27%23,5024,7825,20
IT-00244377.528378.5551.0270,27%23,7625,0425,46
IT-00245370.430371.4621.0320,28%23,4424,7225,14
IT-00246368.820369.8211.0010,27%23,3724,6525,07
IT-00247348.151349.1641.0130,29%22,4223,7024,12
IT-00248363.438364.4551.0170,28%23,1224,4024,82
IT-00249396.974397.9739990,25%24,6525,9326,35
IT-00250356.353357.3519980,28%22,8024,0824,50
IT-00251356.076357.0539770,27%22,7924,0724,49
IT-00252371.236372.1979610,26%23,4824,7625,18
IT-00253384.492385.4869940,26%24,0825,3625,78
IT-00254392.762393.7631.0010,26%24,4625,7426,16
IT-00255376.589377.6211.0320,27%23,7225,0025,42
IT-00256374.433375.4611.0280,27%23,6224,9025,32
IT-00257359.444360.4951.0510,29%22,9424,2224,64
IT-00258365.595366.6051.0100,28%23,2224,5024,92
IT-00259370.779371.7851.0060,27%23,4624,7425,16
IT-00260360.490361.4921.0020,28%22,9924,2724,69
IT-00261345.495346.5021.0070,29%22,3023,5824,00
IT-00262356.388357.3699810,28%22,8024,0824,50
IT-00263379.771380.7469750,26%23,8725,1525,57
IT-00264383.106384.1061.0000,26%24,0225,3025,72
IT-00265371.709372.7391.0300,28%23,5024,7825,20
IT-00266366.235367.2169810,27%23,2524,5324,95
IT-00267363.884364.9201.0360,29%23,1424,4224,84
IT-00268361.888362.8901.0020,28%23,0524,3324,75
IT-00269366.629367.6179880,27%23,2724,5524,97
IT-00270355.664356.7061.0420,29%22,7724,0524,47
IT-00271358.086359.1051.0190,29%22,8824,1624,58
IT-00272368.902369.8679650,26%23,3724,6525,07
IT-00273341.871342.8941.0230,30%22,1423,4223,84
IT-00274350.340351.3641.0240,29%22,5223,8024,22
IT-00275357.051358.0199680,27%22,8324,1124,53
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IT-00613410.683411.9711.2880,31%61,5063,1063,90
IT-006141.193.6411.196.6382.9970,25%83,2985,0386,01
IT-00616454.922455.9941.0720,24%52,7954,2854,93
IT-00617316.636317.6129760,31%45,7747,2547,91
IT-00619587.170589.1511.9810,34%36,9338,3538,93
IT-00620573.760575.6961.9360,34%36,6038,0238,60

En Haz Energía estaremos encantados de poner a disposición de todos los interesados el modelo del cálculo de la retribución de las instalaciones fotovoltaicas y termosolares, así como de atender cualquier duda o consulta sobre los resultados obtenidos a través nuestro formulario de contacto.

Metodología de cálculo e hipótesis asumidas

  • Los cálculos realizados están realizados con arreglo a lo establecido en el Real Decreto 413/2014.
  • Los precios reales del mercado eléctrico de los años 2014, 2015 y 2016 empleados para calcular el valor del ajuste por desviaciones se han obtenido a partir de los publicados por la CNMC.
  • Los precios estimados del mercado para el periodo 2017-2019 se han obtenido a través de OMIP, tal y como se establece en el artículo 22.1 del Real Decreto 413/2014: 2017 (41,7o€/MWh), 2018 (41,34€/MWh) y 2019 (41,48€/MWh). A partir de 2020 se estima que el precio del mercado eléctrico se mantendrá estable en 41,48€/MWh.
  • Para la estimación de los ingresos de mercado se han utilizado los factores de apuntamiento establecidos en la Orden IET 1045/2014 para cada tecnología (fotovoltaica y termosolar).
  • Para el cálculo del Ro se han tenido en cuenta los costes de explotación del ejercicio 2014, actualizados con la variación del IPC del periodo (exceptuando el impuesto sobre el valor de la producción de energía eléctrica y el IBI). El IPC del periodo 2014-2016 es el publicado por el INE, tomando como última referencia el mes de septiembre de 2016 (-0,2%).
  • A partir del ejercicio 2017, los costes de explotación se actualizan al 1% tal y como está establecido en las hipótesis del Anexo III de la Orden IET 1045/2014.
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